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Trading Ideas

Why the Efficient Market Hypothesis Is Bunk

“I believe there is no other proposition in economics which has more solid empirical evidence supporting it than the efficient market hypothesis.”

– Michael Jensen, Harvard Business School professor emeritus of business administration
You may have heard of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH).

Put simply, it states that stock prices reflect all information in the markets.

As a result, a stock will always trade at its fair value.

That, in turn, makes it is impossible to “beat the market” consistently.

So you should give up on picking stocks and invest all your money in index funds, right?

By matching the market, you will ensure that you end …read more […]

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Exclusive: As Rosneft's Vietnam unit drills in disputed area of South China Sea, Beijing issues warning

Rosneft Vietnam BV, a unit of Russian state oil firm Rosneft, is concerned that its recent drilling in an area of the South China Sea that is claimed by China could upset Beijing, two sources with direct knowledge of the situation told Reuters on Wednesday. Rosneft said on Tuesday its Vietnamese unit had started drilling at the LD-3P well, part of the Lan Do “Red Orchid” offshore gas field in Block 06.1, 370 kms (230 miles) southeast of Vietnam. The block is “within the area outlined by China’s nine-dash line,” according to energy consultancy and research firm Wood …read more […]