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Goldman Sachs flags downside risks for commodities before China stimulus kicks in

“The promise of stimulus has made commodity markets act like equity markets, building up risks of a sharp correction,” analysts at the Wall Street bank said in a note dated Feb. 21. Over a 12-month period, the bank forecast returns of 14.3% from energy, 4.3% from industrial metals and a negative 0.8% from precious metals. Commodity markets have come under pressure as mounting fears that the new flu-like virus will grow into a pandemic have heightened worries of a slowdown in global economic growth. …read more […]

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Coronavirus concerns spur odd market moves

Some asset prices are moving together in unusual ways, an indication that investors may be preparing their portfolios for a coronavirus-led global slowdown. U.S. stocks, gold, Treasuries and the dollar have all surged in 2020, a climb that has taken place alongside persistent concerns over the outbreak’s economic fallout. Such synchronous moves are not typical, as investors usually have different reasons for buying each asset class. …read more […]

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How Strategists and Investors See Coronavirus Playing Out

(Bloomberg) — A raft of new coronavirus cases in numerous countries outside China over the weekend has redoubled concern about the ability of the illness to spread, and potential economic impact.South Korea’s Kospi dropped as much as 3.8% after the country’s count of cases rose quickly to 763, and the government raised its infectious-disease alert to the highest level. Italy’s government imposed a lockdown on an area of 50,000 people near Milan and took other measures as infections exceeded 130. Iran reported an eighth death with 43 cases.That’s all on top of the impact on hardest-hit China, where millions of …read more […]

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China Pushes Factories to Reopen, Risking Renewed Virus Spread

(Bloomberg) — China is trying to get people back to work, risking a renewed spread of the coronavirus.Central and local governments are loosening the criteria for factories to resume operations as they walk a tightrope between containing a virus that has killed almost 2,600 people and preventing a slump in the world’s second-largest economy.The rush to restart has been propelled by China’s leader Xi Jinping and top leaders, who are urging companies to resume production so the country can continue to meet lofty goals for growth and economic development in 2020. At stake are the fates of millions of Chinese …read more […]